All 2010 Fantasy Football Articles | 2010 Position Rankings
Are wideouts the new running backs? Not quite, but they continue to gain importance as more and more leagues make rules changes that enhance the value of the position. How do you know if you're in one of these leagues? If your rules only require one starting RB spot and has a flex position, or if it awards one point per reception, you can start thinking about drafting a WR in the middle of the first round.
As I noted in the RB preview, there is a pretty sizable drop off after the first five or six running backs this season, so as soon as Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Maurice Jones-Drew and Ray Rice are off the board, it's time to consider going with a wideout. Frank Gore and Steven Jackson are justifiable picks at #5 or #6, but Andre Johnson is also worth consideration. And I'd rather have Larry Fizgerald than any of the RBs in the next tier (Michael Turner, Rashard Mendenhall, DeAngelo Williams, etc.).
If you're in a league that does NOT require two starting RBs, and you're drafting in the back half of round one, it makes a lot of sense to zag when everyone else is zigging, by grabbing a stud WR. You could even draft a second wideout early in the 2nd and wait to nab your first RB late in the third, when guys like Pierre Thomas, Chris Wells and Joseph Addai are still likely to be available. You could end up with Fitzgerald, Reggie Wayne and Thomas as your core, and that's a group that is projected (by Footballguys) to outscore a Turner/Mendenhall/S. Rice core by almost 100 fantasy points over the course of the season (assuming a high-performance, PPR league).
If you're drafting in the first half of the first round and want to grab a stud RB early, don't be afraid to go WR with your next pick, as there will be plenty of RB talent available early in the third round, and given the relative depth in rounds 2 and 3, you won't be losing many points by letting Ryan Grant, Jamaal Charles or Knowshon Moreno go. Somebody comparable will be there in the 3rd.
Even if you load up on WR talent early, it's always nice to be able to pluck a good WR out of the pack in the middle rounds. Here are a few players that are going in the 6th-10th rounds that should outperform their current average draft positions. (Note: All ADP data is from Antsports.)
Hines Ward (6.01)
It's almost August, so that must mean I'm writing about Hines Ward as a value fantasy wideout. Sure, he's 34, but over the last two seasons he has averaged 88-1105-6.5. He was WR14 last season and WR15 the year before, so why is he being drafted WR23? It's not just his age -- he's going to be without Ben Roethlisberger for the first six games. But Byron Leftwich can hold down the fort, right? If he stays healthy, Ward should have another top 20 fantasy season.
Percy Harvin (6.03)
While Sidney Rice stole many of the headlines last season, Harvin put together a terrific rookie year en route to Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. Most wideouts take two or three years to get acclimated to the NFL, but Harvin had no issues, other than the occasional migrane. He finished with 60-790-6, and also gained 135 yards in the running game. He should be able to build on those numbers assuming #4 is back under center.
Santana Moss (7.02)
Even in what was rightfully considered a down year, Moss finished as WR28 with 70-902-3. He's being drafted WR27, even though his QB situation has improved from Jason Campbell to Donovan McNabb, who is far more likely to throw the ball downfield with accuracy. Moss is 31, so age is a concern, but it's not like he's over the hill. Moss has a great shot to shoot back into the Top 20 in 2010.
Donald Driver (7.04)
The Packers are worried about Driver's off-season knee scopes, but he said in mid-June that he feels so good that he wishes he had done it years ago. Driver is 35, so it's important to keep perspective, but these are the kinds of middle round singles and doubles that can seal a fantasy playoff berth. Driver was WR21 last season and WR23 the year before, yet he's going W28 in mock drafts. I figure he'll finish in the low 20's again with very little downside.
Mike Wallace (8.02)
I'd feel even better about this pick if Roethlisberger weren't suspended for the first six games, but them's the breaks. Wallace posted 39-756-3 as a rookie last season and gave the Steelers enough confidence to let Santonio Holmes go. He may not start for your fantasy team right away, but draft him as your third or fourth WR and you'll probably be using him by midseason.
Malcom Floyd (10.05)
Floyd is 28, so he isn't going to sneak up on anyone. But he did post 9-140 against the Redskins in Week 17 last year when Vincent Jackson sat out, and with V-Jax preparing for a long holdout, Floyd could emerge as the Chargers' top WR option. He has a career average of 16.5 ypc, which is promising.
Derrick Mason (10.06)
Like Ward and Driver, Mason is a tried and true fantasy WR. He finished WR17 last season and WR20 the year before, but is being drafted WR41 for some unknown reason. Sure, he's old (36), but he has three straight 1000+ yard seasons and hasn't shown any signs of slowing down. Anquan Boldin's arrival may cut into his targets, but his catches per target should rise with the attention Boldin is going to get. It also doesn't hurt that Joe Flacco has another year on his belt. If your WR corps is looking shaky in the 9th round, Mason can quickly stabilize it.
Devin Aromashodu (10.03)
Don't worry too much about Aromashodu's current position on the Bears' depth chart (WR3). Jay Cutler likes him and Mike Martz runs a lot of three-receiver sets. He posted 22-282-4 over the last four games of the season. By the way, I also like Devin Hester, who is currently going in the 11th round.
Here are our official WR rankings, by tier:
1. Andre Johnson
2. Larry Fitzgerald
3. Miles Austin
4. Reggie Wayne
5. Randy Moss
6. Roddy White
7. Greg Jennings
8. Calvin Johnson
9. Marques Colston
10. Sidney Rice
11. DeSean Jackson
12. Steve Smith 2.0
13. Brandon Marshall
14. Steve Smith 1.0
15. Chad Ochocinco
16. Hines Ward
17. Percy Harvin
18. Anquan Boldin
19. Michael Crabtree
21. Wes Welker
22. Hakeem Nicks
23. Mike Sims-Walker
24. Dwyane Bowe
25. Santana Moss
26. Donald Driver
27. Mike Wallace
28. Jeremy Maclin
29. Derrick Mason
30. Malcom Floyd
31. Devin Hester
32. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
33. Devin Aromashodu
34. Steve Breaston
35. Jerricho Cotchery
36. Santonio Holmes
37. Jabar Gaffney
38. Robert Meachem
39. Terrell Owens
40. Kenny Britt
41. Mohamed Massoquoi
42. Dez Bryant
43. Laurent Robinson
44. Nate Burleson
45. Chris Chambers
46. Vincent Jackson
47. Jacoby Jones
48. Pierre Garcon
49. Donnie Avery
50. Eddie Royal
50. Chaz Schilens