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Bullz-Eye.com's 2007 NFL Preview

By Anthony Stalter (astalter@bullz-eye.com)

Artwork by Brian Smith, © 2007 Bullz-Eye.com

09/03/2007

It’s been roughly seven months since the Colts romped the Bears in Super Bowl XLI, but thanks to media outlets like the NFL Network, the offseason flew by. So what do fans have to look forward to in 2007? Well, plenty.

Now that Peyton Manning is finally a Super Bowl champion, he gets to try something Tom Brady has already experienced three times in his career: trying to repeat. Speaking of Brady and the Patriots, he’s got new toys to play with in receivers Randy Moss, Donte’ Stallworth and Wes Welker, while the AFC’s other top contender, the Chargers, look to bounce back after a disappointing first round exit in the playoffs last year. In the NFC, the Bears and Saints appear to be the top dogs again, but watch out for the Eagles if Donovan McNabb can stay healthy. The 49ers are the chic pick in the West, but nobody should sleep on the Seahawks.

We used a different format for our NFL preview this year. Instead of ranking teams 1 through 32, we’ve decided to group them into five different tiers: Super Bowl Contenders, Playoff Bound, Heading Forward (teams that should improve in ’07), Heading Backward (teams that will take a step back in ’07) and Spinning Their Wheels (teams that will roughly stay the same). For each team, we’ll take a look at one key offseason addition and loss, as well as either a player to keep an eye on or one that’s on the hot seat entering the season. Plus we threw out a question mark that may keep that team from reaching their ultimate goal, as well as a season outlook.

Enjoy and remember, the season goes quickly so cherish it, people!

SUPER BOWL CONTENDERS
KEY ADDITION: Adalius Thomas, OLB
Thomas is a pass rush stud and with Bill Belichick a mastermind at disguising defensive formations, he could be looking at another 10-plus sack season.
KEY LOSS: Corey Dillon, RB
Dillon’s skills are declining, but with Laurence Maroney still recovering from shoulder surgery, he would have been a nice insurance policy.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Wes Welker, WR
Belichick is going to give Welker plenty of chances to get open, and with Randy Moss and Donte Stallworth lining up outside of him, he should thrive.
QUESTION MARK: Will Maroney hold up?
Maroney enters his second season as the Pats’ main tailback with very little depth behind him. As previously noted, he’s coming off offseason shoulder surgery and if he can’t stay healthy, the ground game is going to take a major hit. Stay tuned.
OUTLOOK: People think Moss is going to be a problem, but Tom Brady is going to keep him under wraps and remind him that a title ring is on the line. The secondary has a few holes and Asante Samuel’s contract situation is a concern, but it’s Belichick’s schemes and game plans that should always have opponents on their toes, not individual players. If Maroney can stay healthy and not wear down, New England has all the pieces to make yet another run at the Lombardi Trophy.
KEY ADDITION: Tony Ugoh, OT
Ugoh will push for the starting left tackle job and will have the all-important task of keeping Peyton Manning’s blindside protected.
KEY LOSS: Cato June, LB
June’s speed and coverage skills were perfect for the Colts’ Cover 2 defense, so it’s a little surprising they didn’t pursue him more aggressively. Tampa got a steal for $12 million over three years.
Keep your eye on; Anthony Gonzalez, WR
Think of Brandon Stokley’s role in the Colts’ offense over the past couple of years and you’ll understand why Gonzo should have a very productive rookie campaign, especially with Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne commanding so much defensive attention each week.
QUESTION MARK: Can the defense hold up?
Can Freddie Keiaho, Marlin Jackson and Kelvin Hayden step up to fill the voids left by June, Nick Harper and Jason David? Bob Sanders’ health is always a concern too and the run defense was absolutely shredded on a weekly basis without him last year.
OUTLOOK: The champs are likely to be even more powerful offensively this year with the array of weapons Peyton Manning has at his disposal in Wayne, Harrison, Gonzalez and Joseph Addai. There are some huge question marks on defense, however, and several first year starters will be asked to fill huge voids. The offense is a threat to score 30-plus points a game, but it also seems the Colts are one or two injuries away on defense from forcing Manning to win shootouts every week. Are they Super Bowl contenders? Absolutely. A bit flawed, however? No question.
Key Addition: Craig Davis, WR
Davis has already turned some heads during camp and may become the legitimate deep threat the Bolts sorely need.
KEY LOSS: Donnie Edwards, OLB
His better days are behind him, but Edwards is a durable playmaker whose loss will hurt the San Diego D.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Vincent Jackson, WR
Keenan McCardell's gone and defenses have to key on LT and Gates, which means the opportunity is there for Jackson to become a true #1 receiver.
Question: How will all the coaching changes affect the Chargers' postseason chances?
With as talented as this team is on both sides of the ball, you wouldn't think coaching changes would have much of an effect on the Chargers. But considering they're dealing with a new head coach and two new coordinators, how quickly the players adapt to the new staff will determine if San Diego can make a serious run at the Super Bowl.
OUTLOOK: LaDainian Tomlinson (above) is going to do his thing and with quarterback Philip Rivers entering his second full season as the starter, he should be more comfortable and the offense should run more smoothly. The front seven on defense is going to be solid again, but the secondary overachieved last year and will have to do it again for the Chargers to even sniff 14-2 again. Adding an offensive mind like new HC Norv Turner won’t hurt either; however, there’s a reason this guy has never won anything as a head coach. He has a team loaded with talent, so now’s the time to show the rest of the league he’s more than just a good offensive coordinator.
KEY ADDITION: Greg Olson, TE
Olson finally gives Da Bears a true receiving threat at the tight end position with outstanding hands, decent speed and the ability to stretch the middle of the field.
KEY LOSS: Thomas Jones, RB
While the backfield controversy is certainly gone for the Bears, so is Jones’ hard work, versatility and leadership.
Player ON THE HOT SEAT: Rex Grossman, QB
If Grossman can show a little more consistency, the Chicago organization and its fan base will embrace him for the foreseeable future. However, they’ll also bury him if he continues to turn the ball over.
QUESTION MARK: Will there be a quarterback controversy?
Lovie Smith did a nice job of quelling any QB controversy last year, but can he work his magic again this year if Grossman doesn’t show more consistency? Brian Griese better not fall asleep.
OUTLOOK: Grossman will again be the big question mark on offense, but Cedric Benson might have just as much heat on him in trying to replace Jones. The Bears certainly have enough weapons on offense, including deep threat Bernard Berrian, and making explosive return man Devin Hester into a receiver should only help, but Grossman has to be the straw that stirs the drink. Defensively, getting Lance Briggs back was huge, but the key might be a healthy Tommie Harris since the team parted ways with knucklehead Tank Johnson. The NFC North is still the Bears' to lose, but can a flawed Grossman carry them to another Super Bowl?
KEY ADDITION: Brian Simmons, LB
The Saints linebacker corps was a nice surprise last year, but Simmons gives them more stability against the run than Mark Simoneau. The only issue is he’s still recovering from knee surgery.
KEY LOSS: Joe Horn, WR
Have Horn’s skills declined? Yes, but his tremendous leadership will be irreplaceable, especially with all the Saints’ young receivers.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Devery Henderson, WR
Rookie Robert Meachem has been a bit of a disappointment thus far and with Marques Colston acquiring most of the attention, Henderson has the chance to explode in Sean Payton’s offense.
QUESTION MARK: Can the defense overachieve again?
Can Hollis Thomas put in another career year? Will the secondary show signs of improvement with the additions of Jason David and Kevin Kaesviharn? Is Roman Harper healthy? The defense will determine whether the Saints are contenders or pretenders this year.
OUTLOOK: Payton has had a full offseason to dream up new ways of using the electric Reggie Bush in a two-headed rushing attack that includes a healthy Deuce McAllister. However, they’re not going to sneak up on anyone this year and Drew Brees is going to have to prove 2006 wasn’t a fluke. Defensively, adding Simmons and David will help, but there are still major concerns in the secondary, especially at safety. At least Charles Grant and Will Smith will provide a solid rush. Playing in such a tough division will probably cap them at about 10 wins again, but make no mistake – the Saints are for real.
 
KEY ADDITION: Takeo Spikes, OLB
Spikes needs to get and stay healthy, but he’s one of the most underrated players in the NFL in terms of leadership, determination and hard work.
KEY LOSS: Donte’ Stallworth, WR
Stallworth provided a lift for Philly last year until injuries crept in and deterred an otherwise good season. With his departure, questions yet again surround the Eagles' receiving corps.
ON THE HOT SEAT: Donovan McNabb, QB
First A.J. Feeley was inked to a new contract extension and then Kevin Kolb was the Eagles’ first pick when other needs could have been filled. Think McNabb has to stay healthy and play well this season in order to keep the heat off of him in Philly?
QUESTION MARK: Are Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis enough?
Before T.O. terrorized Philly, this team was terrorized by mediocre wide receivers. Brown is an emerging talent and Curtis has wheels to burn, but are these Super Bowl caliber wide outs?
OUTLOOK: We’re going to catch hell for listing the Eagles in this tier, but the bottom line is the NFC is still weak and the Bears and Saints have flaws of their own. Andy Reid is still one of the best schemers and don’t forget McNabb started off hot last year before tearing his ACL. Multi-talented Brian Westbrook will take heat off McNabb while Marty Mornhinweg will be allowed to call plays for the entire season, which is good news for Philly fans. McNabb’s health, the receivers and the thought of Sean Considine starting scares us, but just call the Eagles our sleeper of 2007.
 
PLAYOFF BOUND
KEY ADDITION: Travis Henry, RB
Henry is a downhill runner so he isn’t the best back for the Broncos’ zone blocking scheme, but he’s an upgrade in short yardage situations and has more than enough speed to be successful.
KEY LOSS: Jake Plummer, QB
Plummer is definitely on the downside of his career, but he would have been a much better insurance policy for Jay Cutler than Patrick Ramsey will be.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Brandon Marshall, WR
If Marshall’s healthy at the start of the season, playing opposite Javon Walker should give the big, speedy deep threat an opportunity for a breakout season.
QUESTION MARK: Does the offense have enough weapons?
While Henry should have a solid season, he’s not the homerun threat Tatum Bell was. The receiving corps is solid, but Walker, Marshall and Rod Smith need to stay healthy or else Cutler may become too reliant on underrated tight end Daniel Graham.
OUTLOOK: If the Broncos were in the NFC, they’d be a Super Bowl contender from week one, but facing San Diego twice, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville and Chicago will be daunting. Denver’s defense, led by all pro Champ Bailey, D.J. Williams, John Lynch and newly acquired Dre’ Bly, is going to be stingy every week. If Cutler avoids a sophomore slump and the offense stays healthy, the Broncos could surprise and go deep into the postseason.   
KEY ADDITION: Patrick Kerney, DE
Kerney’s sack numbers have been down, but Seattle is going to absolutely love his balls-out work ethic, tenacity and leadership.
KEY LOSS: Darrell Jackson, WR
Jackson’s got health issues and is hitting the twilight of his career, but his leadership and consistency shouldn’t be overlooked.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Deon Grant, S
The addition of Grant flew under the radar, but he’ll vastly improve the Hawks’ secondary. He’s an outstanding centerfielder, has a knack for making big plays and will provide excellent leadership for fellow defensive backs Marcus Trufant and Kelly Jennings.
QUESTION MARK: Can D.J. Hackett or Nate Burleson emerge opposite Deion Branch?
Matt Hasselbeck needs one of these two receivers to emerge or else teams can stack the box against Shaun Alexander and double Branch.
OUTLOOK: People are falling asleep on the Seahawks with San Francisco emerging as the chic pick of the 2007 season, but don’t be fooled – this is still a solid playoff contender. Alexander should bounce back from his injury-plagued 2006 season and you can bet on Mike Holmgren getting the most out of Hasselbeck and Branch. The defense has improved with the additions of Kerney and Grant, plus Jennings, Lofa Tatupu, Marcus Tubbs and LeRoy Hill are set for breakout years. Don’t forget, Seattle gave Chicago all they could handle in the postseason last year and the NFC West is still theirs to lose.
KEY ADDITION: Leonard Davis, OG
Davis is absolutely massive and gets a bad rap for being lazy because he doesn’t always play with much tenacity, but he’ll improve one of Dallas’ biggest weaknesses from last season.
KEY LOSS: Bill Parcells, head coach
Wade Phillips is a good coach, but nobody in the NFL outside of Bill Belichick is on Parcells’ level in terms of getting the most out of his players.
ON THE HOT SEAT: Tony Romo, QB
Romo (above) deserves time to develop, but botching the snap on the potential game-winning field goal in the postseason puts enormous pressure on him to bounce back quickly.        
QUESTION MARK: Can Phillips and Jason Garrett take this team to the next level?
Phillips will definitely help an already solid 3-4 defense, but Garrett has never been an offensive coordinator and there’s no telling if either of them can handle Terrell Owens. Even T.O. wore out Parcells by the end of last year. 
OUTLOOK: With extensive game experience under his belt, Romo should be better and the offensive line will reap the benefits of moving Davis to guard. Combining offensive weapons like Owens, Julius Jones, Marion Barber, Jason Witten and Terry Glenn with an aggressive defense should yield a division or wild card push. However, Phillips struggled in Buffalo with decisions outside of what to do with the defense. Talent will only take a team so far, and then scheming, game planning and overall coaching strategies need to take over.
KEY ADDITION: Mike Tomlin, head coach
Tomlin will rejuvenate the defense, energize the team philosophy and get the Steelers back to the hard working bunch they were before the '06 collapse.
KEY LOSS: Joey Porter, OLB
Porter’s skills declined last year due to injuries and age, but every time he touches the field he demands the most out of himself and his teammates.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Santonio Holmes, WR
Holmes played to mixed reviews as a rookie last year, but he’s a sure-handed deep threat and might have a breakout season if the Steelers offense can stay balanced and healthy.  
QUESTION MARK: Is Big Ben ready to bounce back?
After a disastrous start to the 2006 season, Ben Roethlisberger led the Steelers to a 6-2 finish and was much more effective after bouncing back from a life threatening motorcycle accident and a concussion. Is he finally healthy and ready for another postseason run?   
OUTLOOK: Many pundits are predicting another off year for the Steelers, but a closer look reveals something different. Roethlisberger should be healthy, Willie Parker is set to have more of a full-time role and the defense is going to be nasty under Tomlin. Throw youngsters Holmes, first-round pick Lawrence Timmons and a healthy Troy Polamalu into the mix and, despite the new system and a tough schedule, Pittsburgh’s closer to a playoff run than most think.
KEY ADDITION: Tony Pashos, OT
Pashos is not only an upgrade in pass protection, but he also provides depth with Maurice Williams now reduced to a backup.
KEY LOSS: Deon Grant, S
The Jags got the second best safety prospect in the draft with Reggie Nelson, but they also lose a ton of experience and leadership with Grant’s departure. 
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Reggie Nelson, S
Speaking of Nelson, he’s got amazing coverage skills, is fluid and can lay the wood. With how good Jacksonville’s defense is, he could become what Troy Polamalu is to the Steelers.
QUESTION MARK: Will the quarterback play be better this year? 
David Garrard is now the starter with the release of Byron Leftwich, but he has to be more consistent. Can he be the savior?
OUTLOOK: The Jags have a good motivator in head coach Jack Del Rio, an outstanding defense and an up-and-coming back in Maurice Jones-Drew. The problem is keeping Garrard upright and avoiding injuries on a whole. Marcus Stroud and John Henderson combine to be the best defensive tackle combo in the league, but Stroud has to stay on the field for both to be effective. Playing in the same division as the Super Bowl champion Colts and the upstart Titans is difficult, but there are breaks in their schedule that will allow them to compete for the wild card.
 
KEY ADDITION: Nate Clements, CB
Clements is one of the best corners in the game with his psychical style of play and unrelenting man coverage skills.
KEY LOSS: Norv Turner, offensive coordinator
Right as the young players on offense are starting to blend together, they lose their mastermind. Turner hasn’t been much of a head coach in the NFL, but he’s always been one hell of an OC. 
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Vernon Davis, TE
If he stays healthy, Davis – who has the strength of a lineman and the speed of a receiver – could put up monster numbers and lead all tight ends in receptions and yards.
QUESTION MARK: Will the new components on defense gel?
There’s no question the defense was upgraded in the offseason, but can it all come together for the Niners to make a postseason run? The individual pieces are there, but chemistry can always be a problem when there’s that much turn over.
OUTLOOK: Always be leery of the chic pick in football. While it’s hard to not include the 49ers among the teams who have a legitimate shot at the postseason, they still might be a year away. One thing’s for sure, however: the blend of young talent in Davis, Manny Lawson, Patrick Willis, Alex Smith, Frank Gore and Joe Staley is exciting. Plus, head coach Mike Nolan seems to grasp what this team is all about and what he expects going forward. Now it’s about putting it all together and making sure his young players keep developing into future stars.    
 
HEADING FORWARD
KEY ADDITION: Randy McMichael, TE
With the options the Rams have in their receiving corps, McMichael – one of the game's best pass catching tight ends – could have a huge presence in the middle of the field.
KEY LOSS: Kevin Curtis, WR
The loss of Curtis is minor with the addition of Drew Bennett, but nonetheless he provided depth and speed and often was a mismatch lined up in the slot.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Tye Hill, CB
With a full year now under his belt, the speedy and aggressive Hill could be looking at a six- or seven-interception season. 
QUESTION MARK: Has the run defense improved?
The Rams gave up 145.4 yards per game on the ground last year and although first round pick Adam Carriker is expected to clog more lanes, the linebackers and ends are undersized.
OUTLOOK: With the Seahawks remaining mostly intact and the 49ers ready to take the next step, the Rams will probably hover around the same 8-8 record as last year. However, they’re definitely moving in the right direction and Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson (right) – who might put up LT numbers this year – Torry Holt and Drew Bennett are going to deliver eye-popping numbers. But the defense, although quick and aggressive, is still vastly undersized and will likely have issues stopping the run again. The first step to beefing up the line started with the selection of Carriker, but more additions need to be made before the Rams can be considered playoff contenders again.
KEY ADDITION: Joey Porter, LB
Porter’s skills have declined, but he brings veteran leadership and tenacity to an already solid defense.
KEY LOSS: Wes Welker, WR
The vastly underrated Welker will be missed for his versatility and depth.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Yeremiah Bell, S
Bell exploded onto the scene last year with two sacks, three forced fumbles and 70 tackles when the Dolphins finally gave him an opportunity. With a full season, he could become one of the best strong safeties in the league.     
QUESTION MARK: Will the quarterback play finally improve?
Trent Green showed his age in preseason, which is a terrible sign for a team desperate for a playoff run. Cleo Lemon’s opportunities may come if Green falters, which isn’t necessarily a good thing for the immediate future.
OUTLOOK: The Fish have more questions than answers, but they’re one of those teams that could potentially put it all together for a playoff run. Assuming the talk of him losing carries to Jesse Chatman was purely a motivational ploy, Ronnie Brown could explode this year, and Chris Chambers could excel with a quarterback who can finally get him the ball while rookie Ted Ginn Jr. should provide another dimension on special teams. However, there are no indications from Green at this point that he’s going to be the difference maker. The defense will keep them in every game, but with several aging players on both sides of the ball, the timetable for this team is running out. An appearance by Trent Green circa 2004 would be a welcome sight.
KEY ADDITION: Nick Harper, CB
Harper was underrated and under appreciated in Indianapolis, but he’ll be just as good as Pacman Jones in Tennessee, and without the headache. 
KEY LOSS: Drew Bennett, WR
Bennett battled inconsistency and injuries last year, but his departure created a still unfilled void in the Titans receiving corps.
ON THE HOT SEAT: LenDale White, RB
The Titans would love for White to shoulder the rushing load in 2007, but weight issues, dedication and injury concerns loom large.
QUESTION MARK: Who’s going to be the deep threat for Vince Young?
David Givens, Brandon Jones, Paul Williams and Roydell Williams are fine, but none are going to keep defensive coordinators up at night.
OUTLOOK: The Titans are the exception in this tier because while they’re “heading forward” as a franchise, they’re likely going backward in 2007. Everyone is excited about Young’s second year, but don’t forget defensive coordinators now have a full season of film to dissect his weaknesses. He’s still going to make highlight reel plays and be exciting, but he’ll also struggle as a passer again, especially without a bevy of weapons at his disposal. At least the line is solid and there’s a lot to like about tackle Michael Roos. Defensively, the dedicated and hard-working Keith Bulluck epitomizes the unit. If anything, it’s going to be the defense – equipped with an above average linebacker corps – that keeps the Titans in contention this year. Even if they’re not successful in 2007, Young is an excellent piece to build around.
KEY ADDITION: Calvin Johnson, WR
Johnson is a freak of nature with his 6-5 height, low 4.0 speed and unbelievable playmaking ability.
KEY LOSS: Cory Schlesinger, FB
His career is quickly coming to an end, but in all the down years for the Lions, Schlesinger always worked his butt off and never gave up.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Ernie Sims, LB
With his speed and reckless abandonment, Sims may again lead the Lions in tackles, as well as boast impressive sack numbers if coordinator Joe Barry turns him loose. 
QUESTION MARK: Can the defense keep the Lions in contention?
Will the upside of Sims, Cory Redding and Dewayne White overcome the downsides of Travis Fisher, Stanley Wilson and Teddy Lehman? 
OUTLOOK: Just like Arizona, the Lions flirt with yearly promise. Giving Mike Martz talent like Calvin Johnson and Roy Williams is sick but the line is still very average and, despite all the weapons he'll have at his disposal, Jon Kitna has his limitations (21 TD, 22 INT in '06). Plus, it’s doubtful Tatum Bell does what he did in Denver and T.J. Duckett is nothing more than a short yardage back these days. While Martz’s system can put up 30 points a game, the defense might surrender 31. If the Lions can get Lehman and the secondary to play above their heads, the postseason isn’t out of the question considering the division they play in. Realistically, however, the Lions will probably max out at six or seven wins and look toward CJ, Williams, an upgraded defense and a healthy Kevin Jones to carry them next year.
KEY ADDITION: Levi Brown, OT
For an offensive line that has struggled mightily over the years, the site of a 6- 5, 323-pound rookie with loads of athleticism is a welcome site.
KEY LOSS: Leonard Davis, OT
Not a huge loss with how expensive he became and the way he underachieved after being a second-overall pick, but Davis wasn’t as bad as he was made out to be either.  
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Leonard Pope, TE
Pope is equipped with excellent hands and will benefit from playing alongside Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald. He might become Matt Leinart’s go to guy in short yardage red zone attempts.
QUESTION MARK: Will the secondary be improved?
The Cards have all the pieces to be an outstanding secondary with Adrian Wilson and Antrel Rolle. However, the unit was torched last year and will count heavily on new additions Roderick Hood and Terrence Holt.
OUTLOOK: The offense is stacked from Leinart to receivers Boldin and Fitzgerald, but can the line give Edgerrin James a chance to earn his 2006 paycheck? The defense has upside, but as a unit they can be had, plus season-ending injuries to Chike Okeafor and Oliver Ross don’t help. New head coach Ken Whisenhunt is certainly going to make this team tougher, but the talent is scattered and the line is going to make or break the offense. Leinart also needs to show he’s moving in the right direction on the field because his dedication has been a bit questioned off it. This team shows promise but then again, how long has everybody been saying that?
 
KEY ADDITION: Eric Steinbach, OG
Steinbach, the prized offseason free agent, will bring versatility, athleticism and intelligence to an upgraded Browns offensive line.
KEY LOSS: Dennis Northcutt, WR
Northcutt wasn’t a huge loss, but at least he provided the wide receiver and special teams units with depth and versatility.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Kamerion Wimbley, LB
Already a skilled pass rusher, Wimbley could turn into the type of linebacker quarterbacks have to be aware of on every snap. He’s a playmaker and a potential game changer.
QUESTION MARK: Will Brady Quinn see action this year?
Will Romeo Crennel hitch his future to the backside of the prized rookie? The pressure to play Quinn has been mounting since commissioner Roger Goodell read off his name in April.    
OUTLOOK: They’re not there yet, but the Browns are definitely improving. The additions of Steinbach and rookie T Joe Thomas are going to solidify a vastly upgraded offensive line for years to come while Quinn will hopefully be the savior. Eventually the Browns are going to need a top tier back to go along with the upside of Quinn, Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow, but Jamal Lewis will have to do for now. Defensively, Wimbley, Sean Jones, Brodney Pool and rookie corner Eric Wright form a nice group of youngsters, but the line will hold the this unit back this year. The puzzle is starting to come together for Cleveland; now it’s all about continuing to add pieces and staying healthy.
 
SPINNING THEIR WHEELS
KEY ADDITION: Michael Myers, DT
While he’s only an average pass rusher and not much of a playmaker, the Bengals got an excellent run defender and a versatile player in Myers.
KEY LOSS: Eric Steinbach, OG
Steinbach was overpriced for the Bengals, but there’s no question they lost a tough, athletic and instinctive player.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Ahmad Brooks, LB
Brooks is the total package as a linebacker and could lead the team in tackles while also putting up decent sack numbers.
QUESTION MARK: Has the defense improved?
Not much was upgraded to a unit that was overmatched and played inconsistently and cautiously at times last year. Brooks is the real deal, but Rashad Jeanty is raw and Jonathan Joseph has injury concerns that may force number one pick Leon Hall into the starting lineup before he’s ready. 
OUTLOOK: Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, T.J. Hushmandzadeh and Rudi Johnson are going to once again play at a high level. When this offense is on, it can put up 30 points a game and the line is solid, even with the loss of Steinbach. However, they’re demanding a lot from youngsters Brooks, Jeanty and Joseph on defense. Plus Dexter Jackson is a walking injury and his reliable backup, Kevin Kaesviharn, is now in New Orleans. If they can overachieve like they did in 2005, the Bengals will be an unquestioned playoff contender. If not, it will be another 8-8 or 9-7 season in Cincinnati, which is probably more likely than people think.
KEY ADDITION: Brandon Jackson, RB
Jackson might start if Vernand Mornecy isn’t healthy by the start of the season. If not, he’ll likely be a nice change of pace back, which the Packers haven’t had in years.
KEY LOSS: Ahman Green, RB
Although slowed by injuries and age, Green can still be an effective starter when fresh. 
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: A.J. Hawk, LB
Hawk is a mad man who plays sideline to sideline and has outstanding instincts. Now with a full year under his belt, he could easily become one of the best linebackers in the game. 
QUESTION MARK: Does Brett Favre have one more playoff run left in him?
Favre has enough talent around him, but will his gunslinger approach lead the Packers to the postseason or just a ton of interceptions? Again.
OUTLOOK: Besides the prospect of Favre, Jackson, Donald Driver and Greg Jennings having solid seasons, the offensive line has nice developing talent in Daryn Colledge and Jason Spitz. The defense is also intriguing with a very underrated line and above average linebacker corps, but the secondary may doom any hopes of a playoff run. Al Harris and Charles Woodson overachieved last year, but both are in their 30s and are breaking down. The Packers will probably top out at eight or nine wins this year, but a back-door entrance into the playoffs isn't out of the question in the flawed NFC, especially with #4 lining up behind center for another 16 games.
KEY ADDITION: David Carr, QB
Carr provides ample insurance and will put the heat on the Panthers to make a change if Jake Delhomme struggles again in key situations.     
KEY LOSS: Chris Draft, LB
The versatile Draft can play all three linebacker positions and has always been extremely underrated and undervalued.  
Player ON THE HOT SEAT: Jake Delhomme, QB
Delhomme wasn’t horrible in 2006, but he made a ton of mistakes in crunch time and now that Carr is onboard, he’ll likely be on a short leash.
QUESTION MARK: Will the running game improve?
New OC Jeff Davidson is implementing a zone-blocking scheme similar to the one Denver runs, which should benefit DeAngelo Williams greatly. How well the o-line grasps the new system, however, will be the key to improving their paltry 103.7 YPG from a year ago. Making the full-time move from DeShaun Foster to the electric Williams would also help.
OUTLOOK: Delhomme has to improve down the stretch of games for the Panthers to make a postseason run. Williams, Steve Smith and rookie Dwayne Jarrett give him plenty of weapons to win – now it’s just making the right reads and not turning the ball over. Defensively, there’s a lot to like about young linebackers Thomas Davis, rookie Jon Beason and, of course, end Julius Peppers. But Dan Morgan is always an injury concern in the middle and Mike Rucker and Kris Jenkins are fading. Davidson should help breath more life into the offense and John Fox always gets his guys to play hard, but there just isn’t much for opponents to fear outside Smith and Peppers.
KEY ADDITION: Reuben Droughns, RB
Droughns will help keep the pressure of having to carry the full load off Brandon Jacobs’ shoulders.
KEY LOSS: Tiki Barber, RB
Since 2002, Barber carried the ball 1,588 times for 7,643 yards and 40 touchdowns while never missing a game. Good luck trying to replace that kind of production.
Player ON THE HOT SEAT: Eli Manning, QB
Often questioned for his lack of leadership skills, Manning needs to step up and finally deliver on the potential he’s had for three years. Not that there’s a capable backup behind him, however.
QUESTION MARK: Does the secondary have a pulse? 
The Giants hope rookie Aaron Ross can step in and play right away, because Sam Madison and Corey Webster just aren’t going to cut it. Gibril Wilson and Will Demps are fine safeties, but much will ride on the play of the corners this year. 
OUTLOOK: Pick your poison with Jacobs, Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Shockey and Sinorice Moss, who all have the potential to burn a defense. But Manning has to be better than his 77.0 QB rating for the Giants to succeed. On defense, Michael Strahan might prove to be a distraction, Mathias Kiwanuka has to get adjusted to a new position and there are holes in the interior of the line and at corner. All in all, the talent is there for the Giants to compete, but it’s scattered so much so that it’s going to be hard for them to keep up with Philly and Dallas. A rebuilding year or two seems to be inevitable.
KEY ADDITION: Ahman Green, RB
He doesn’t run like he used to, but Green can still be an effective starter and he provides more punch than Ron Dayne.
KEY LOSS: David Carr, QB
Carr struggled mightily at times, but how could any quarterback be effective behind that line?   
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Jacoby Jones, WR
Even though Gary Kubiak’s offense doesn’t promote a lot of three receiver sets, Jones is lightning fast and given the opportunity, could become a killer deep threat.   
QUESTION MARK: Will Matt Schaub be the difference?
While he has the quick release and smarts to excel in this league, Schaub will only go as far as the offensive line allows him to.
OUTLOOK: The Texans benefit from Schaub already having three years of experience under his belt as opposed to Carr starting as a rookie. However, the o-line has questions at left tackle now that Charles Spencer will miss the first six games of the season due to a slow recovery from a broken leg. At least Andre Johnson should benefit from the addition of Schaub and tight end Owen Daniels could have a breakout year. Defensively, the Texans have really put together a nice collection of youngsters ranging from second-year pros Mario Williams and DeMeco Ryans to first-round pick Amobi Okoye and emerging corner Dunta Robinson. If the Texans continue to progress this year and they upgrade the offensive line, it isn’t out of the question that they become legitimate playoff contenders in a year or two.
KEY ADDITION: London Fletcher-Baker, LB
Never one to get the credit he fully deserves, Fletcher-Baker will dramatically help a unit that struggled against the run last year.
KEY LOSS: Derrick Dockery, OG
Dockery excels at the point of attack and while his price tag was too steep in the offseason, he’ll keep developing unlike current Redskin guards Randy Thomas and Todd Wade.  
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: LaRon Landry, S
Definitely the best safety prospect to come out of the draft in some time, Landry is a vicious hitter who will excel playing next to Pro Bowler Sean Taylor, forming maybe the league's best safety duo.
QUESTION MARK: Will Al Saunders’ offense start to sink in?
Saunders was an offensive mastermind in KC, but his first year in Washington was a dud. If things start to click for QB Jason Campbell, Saunders can take his game to new heights.
OUTLOOK: Campbell has all the physical tools but the decision-making skills are still lacking. At least he has two Pro Bowl tackles in Chris Samuels and Jon Jansen protecting him, but can Clinton Portis stay healthy to alleviate some of the pressure? On the other side of the ball, will the defense – ranked dead last in sacks last year – get any pressure on the opposing quarterback? The secondary is outstanding, but if Landry, Taylor, Carlos Rogers and Shawn Springs don't get any help from the front seven, it doesn’t matter how good the unit is. The Skins aren’t far off, but they have too many question marks heading into this season to be competitive.
 
KEY ADDITION: Jeff Garcia, QB
The quarterback position was rocky last year, but Garcia should provide the Bucs with steadier play under center this season.  
KEY LOSS: Simeon Rice, DE
Rice was seldom healthy, but his edge pass rush was always outstanding and gave opposing quarterbacks fits.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Maurice Stovall, WR
Stovall could emerge as the Bucs deep threat and be the playmaker they thought they had in Michael Clayton before he fell completely off the map.
QUESTION MARK: Can the aging defense hold up?
The unit was very average last year, but additions like Cato June and rookie Gaines Adams, plus the development of Barrett Ruud, should provide a breath of youthful fresh air.  
OUTLOOK: Cadillac Williams should have a big year running behind developing linemen like Jeremy Trueblood and Davin Joseph, but he’s got to avoid the nagging injuries. Defensively, word is that Adams is struggling with the nuances of the pro game and probably won’t be a big contributor this year. That puts a lot of pressure on Greg Spires and Kevin Carter to create pressure on the quarterback, but at least the linebacker unit is athletic enough to be effective in blitz packages. The secondary is going to struggle again this year, mostly at the safety position unless rookie Sabby Piscitelli surprises. All in all, Tampa will probably be more competitive with Garcia, but the offense needs time to develop and the defense is aging quickly, so a Wild Card berth is probably out of the question.
 
HEADING BACKWARD
KEY ADDITION: Willis McGahee, RB
McGahee finally gives the Ravens an outside rushing threat and he’ll have more opportunities in the passing game than he did in Buffalo.
KEY LOSS: Adalius Thomas, OLB
Thomas was extremely productive as a pass rusher and it’s always hard to replace a true playmaker.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Terrell Suggs, OLB
Suggs is in a contract year, so it’s highly likely he records double digit sacks and wreaks havoc on a weekly basis.
QUESTION MARK: Can McNair repeat his 2006 campaign?
McNair threw 16 touchdowns and completed better than 60 percent of his passes last year, but he looked worn down and tired in the postseason. Is this his last run as a starter?
OUTLOOK: Being in this tier doesn’t mean the Ravens aren’t a playful contender – it’s just highly doubtful they win 13 games again. Ray Lewis has lost a step, but it likely won’t matter playing alongside Suggs, up-and-comer Jarret Johnson and the vastly underrated Bart Scott. Ed Reed, Chris McAlister and Dawan Landry make up for Samari Rolle’s declining skills in the secondary while Kelly Gregg and Haloti Ngata are set for breakout seasons along the line. The offense has always been the drawback to this team, but with McGahee, Mark Clayton and Todd Heap, they certainly have enough weapons to win the North again. However, McNair’s limitations have to be a concern, especially against stingier defenses.
KEY ADDITION: Thomas Jones, RB
Jones is a tremendous worker, runs hard and will bring stability to the Jets backfield much like Curtis Martin did.
KEY LOSS: B.J. Askew, FB
Askew played full and H-back and was a solid contributor on special teams.
ON THE HOT SEAT: Chad Pennington, QB
Kellen Clemens looked sharp in preseason and may force Eric Mangini’s hand if Pennington is a lame duck early. Pennington is smart and steady, but he has always lacked the physical tools.
QUESTION MARK: Can the D stop the run this year?
The linebacker corps is outstanding but the line is undersized and often manhandled at the point of attack. Dewayne Robertson is extremely talented, but needs to stop taking plays off and hanging his linebackers out to dry.
OUTLOOK: Mangini’s game plans are outstanding but Pennington’s limitations hinder what he can do with the offense. Jones was an outstanding pickup and may have a career year running behind athletic linemen D’Brickashaw Ferguson, Nick Mangold and Brandon Moore. Defensively, everything revolves around stuffing the run. If teams can run wild, Jonathan Vilma's, Bryan Thomas' and Kerry Rhodes’ skills go to waste. The secondary could have really benefited from Darrelle Revis, but the rookie held out and now needs to play catch-up. Mangini worked wonders last year but a brewing quarterback controversy, a weak run defense and a sub par secondary are likely to keep the Jets around eight or nine wins this season.
KEY ADDITION: Donnie Edwards, LB
Although aging, Edwards still has playmaking ability, is a strong leader and is a clutch performer.
KEY LOSS: Kawika Mitchell, LB
There’s nothing spectacular about Mitchell but he was reliable, led the team in tackles and was an every down ‘backer.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Derrick Johnson, LB
Johnson plays sideline to sideline, can rush the passer and isn’t a liability in coverage. After this season, scouts might start mentioning him with Shawne Merriman in terms of playmaking LBs.
QUESTION MARK: Can LJ carry KC by himself again?
The o-line is suspect and the quarterback play is unsettled, so if KC is going to do anything this year, RB Larry Johnson will lead the way. If he can't shoulder the load on his own, the Chiefs will crumble.
OUTLOOK: Now that Larry Johnson’s contract situation is settled, he can get back to what he does best: putting the entire team on his back. The line has developing talent in Brian Waters and Casey Wiegmann, but the unit on a whole is only average. Throw in the questions at quarterback and a talented but raw rookie at wide out (Dwayne Bowe) and the Chiefs may stumble offensively this year. The defense isn’t getting younger either, with Edwards, Patrick Surtain and Ty Law all over 30. Still, there’s enough rising talent in Derrick Johnson, Tamba Hali and Bernard Pollard to possibly make a playoff run. Everything has to fall right, however, and in a tough AFC that’s not something to bank on.
KEY ADDITION: Joe Horn, WR
Forget his age and injury concerns; adding a resilient and vocal leader like Horn is only going to help this team get past the Michael Vick controversy.
KEY LOSS: Matt Schaub, QB
The Falcons did the right thing at the time, but they’d be more optimistic with Schaub under center this year than Joey Harrington.
ON THE HOT SEAT: Joey Harrington, QB
Somehow he keeps winding up in excellent situations, but this has got to be John Joseph’s (a.k.a. "Joey") final opportunity to be a starter in this league.
QUESTION MARK: Is this team resilient?
Indications from Falcons camp are the team has moved on from Vick, but his legal problems will likely haunt this team for the entire year. Can rookie head coach Bobby Petrino keep his team focused on football?
OUTLOOK: No team suffered a more tumultuous offseason than the Falcons, from Vick’s problems to injuries to starters Demorrio Williams, Warrick Dunn and Rod Coleman. They are rich in young talent, however. He'll open the year getting his reps behind the veteran Dunn, but speedster Jerious Norwood looks like an emerging stud while DeAngelo Hall, Michael Boley and Jamaal Anderson are on their way to becoming stars. Horn, Coleman and Keith Brooking are also solid, if not superb in their roles. Petrino’s offense should do wonders for an underachieving receiving corps as well as Alge Crumpler, although injuries have caught up to the tight end. It’s doubtful Atlanta completely tanks this year, but expecting a postseason run is just unfair and unrealistic at this point.
KEY ADDITION: Adrian Peterson, RB
The rookie back has some injury concerns but Peterson runs like a locomotive.
KEY LOSS: Napoleon Harris, LB
The speedy and instinctive Harris was the mike linebacker for a unit that finished first against the run last year.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Chad Greenway, LB
Greenway missed his entire rookie year after suffering a season-ending knee injury in preseason, but he’ll have an opportunity to start and shine in Leslie Frazier’s Tampa 2 defense.
QUESTION MARK: Can Tavaris Jackson be the man?
The physical tools are there, but his technique and awareness in the pocket are lacking. Jackson is going to need a full year to continue to develop.
OUTLOOK: Peterson is a stud in the making and the offensive line led by G Steve Hutchinson and T Bryant McKinnie is solid, but it’s doubtful Jackson makes huge strides this year. It would be nice if Troy Williamson or Sidney Rice emerge as legitimate playmakers, but that’s asking a lot. Defensively, the Vikes lose a quality coordinator in Mike Tomlin, but Frazier is going to incorporate more blitz packages and there shouldn’t be a drop off in run support. If the new approach doesn’t work, however, the secondary will again be susceptible to giving up big plays. Unless Brad Childress performs miracles with Jackson and the defense plays over its head, the Vikes are looking at a down year.
KEY ADDITION: Derrick Dockery, OG
He was a bit overpaid, but the durable Dockery is still developing and is an upgrade in the run game.
KEY LOSS: Nate Clements, CB
Clements is one of the best young defenders in the game and a player the Bills are going to miss not only in the passing game, but also in stopping the run.
KEEP YOUR EYE ON: Marshawn Lynch, RB
Lynch shows explosion through the holes and is a major asset in the passing game as well.
QUESTION MARK: Is this J.P. Losman’s year?
Losman suffers major bouts of inconsistency and if he flubs up another year, Bills fans can expect rookie Trent Edwards to get a look.
OUTLOOK: Losman just hasn’t shown the consistent marksmanship or decision making to be counted on to deliver this year. At least he has Lynch, Lee Evans and maybe even Roscoe Parrish (if he can be consistent) to take some of the pressure off his shoulders. The offensive line isn’t bad either, led by Dockery and an emerging talent in Jason Peters. Defensively, the Bills’ secondary is stout, featuring three players with major upside in Donte Whitner, Ko Simpson and Ashton Youboty, plus a consistent starter in Terrence McGee. The linebacker corps is weak, however, and they better hope Paul Posluszny makes an impact as a rookie. Aaron Schobel and Chris Kelsay are solid ends, but the unit looks weak up the middle and could be susceptible against the run.
 
KEY ADDITION: JaMarcus Russell, QB
At least the Raiders’ faithful have a talented player to get excited about...assuming Russell actually signs a contract.
KEY LOSS: Randy Moss, WR
This is a major stretch because it’s not like Moss tried last year, but other than maybe Langston Walker, the Raiders didn’t lose anyone special.
ON THE HOT SEAT: Lane Kiffin, head coach
Hopefully he makes it through the full 16-game season without throwing down his headset mid-play and quitting.
QUESTION MARK: Can the offense score?
Daunte Culpepper actually looked solid in preseason, so maybe if the offensive line can give him a shred of time, he and LaMont Jordan will move the ball in a positive direction.
OUTLOOK: One of the only things Raiders fans have going for them is a 6-6, 256-pound quarterback with a rocket launcher for an arm, but who knows when he'll be on the field. Kiffin has definitely shown the right attitude but he’s got his work cut out for him on offense, where everything from the quarterback to the line needs work. Defensively, however, there are many bright spots. One of the best players in the league last year was corner Nnamdi Asomugha and safety Michael Huff is an emerging playmaker. The linebacker corps, led by Thomas Howard and Kirk Morrison, offers plenty to get excited about as well. Unfortunately, they better get used to playing from behind and seeing the field an awful lot again this year.