2005 NFL Preview: Overrated and Underrated Teams
09/08/2005
As we head into another NFL season, we initially
thought about giving our predictions for the division, wild card and Super Bowl
winners. But knowing just how inaccurate those things tend to be by the end of
the year, we decided to go a different route. So below, you'll find our picks
for the most overrated and underrated teams in the league, along with our win
predictions for each team and the current
Super Bowl odds, courtesy of our friends at MySportsbook.com.
Since we've no doubt offended many of you with our selections, feel free to post
your comments, suggestions and insults on the
Overrated/Underrated thread on The Scores Report, the National Sports
Blog.
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Gerardo Orlando
Publisher |
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Pittsburgh Steelers
In 2004, Bill Cowher brought
the Steelers back to the basics, and they responded with
a 15-1 season that ended in the AFC Championship Game.
This year they will be fighting to make the playoffs.
The Steelers went back to the running game last year,
and were fortunate to get an amazing season out of
Jerome Bettis after an injury to Duce Staley. The
biggest beneficiary of the success in the running game
was rookie QB Ben Roethlisberger. Yet by the end of the
season, Big Ben’s limitations were starting to show.
He’s big and physical, but he started making more and
more mistakes as opponents began to scheme around
Pittsburgh’s predictable offense. Big Ben’s woes
continued this preseason, and now Bettis and Staley are
both injured and they have lost Plaxico Burress. Even
with the same personnel, the Steelers needed to make
adjustments on offense, which would then really test Big
Ben’s abilities. Now they have to do it with two injured
backs. Roethlisberger lived a charmed life last year.
This year reality will set in with a serious sophomore
slump.
Win prediction: 9
Super Bowl Odds: 19-1 |
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Arizona Cardinals
Dennis Green is on his way
to reviving the most pathetic franchise in NFL history,
though he will have some challenges early due to
injuries on the offensive line. He has to find a way to
protect Kurt Warner. If he’s able to do it, Warner could
be deadly with an excellent crop of receivers. Larry
Fitzgerald will be a star and this could be his breakout
year, while Anquan Boldin is healthy and looks to
rebound from a lackluster sophomore season. Rookie J.J.
Arrington, who led the nation in rushing last year for
Cal, looks like a great fit in Green’s offense. The key
here, however, is the Cardinals' improved defense. Green has
focused on finding players who want to play hard and
win, and it’s showing up on the defensive side of the
ball. If Warner can do the job at quarterback, this team
can challenge for a playoff spot. If, however, he gets
beat up like he did last year with the Giants, they will be in for a long year.
Win prediction: 9
Super Bowl Odds: 50-1 |
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Jamey Codding
Managing Editor |
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New England Patriots
I realize it’s sacrilegious
to speak negatively of the two-time defending champs,
and I’m sure my inbox will be crammed with hate mail
because of this prediction. Regardless, not only will
Bill Belichick and the Patriots fail in their three-peat attempt this
season, but I’m betting they won’t even get the chance
to defend their crown. Recovering from the loss of Tedi
Bruschi, the heart and soul of their defense, will be
tough enough for the Pats, but they’ll also be without
linebacker Ted Johnson, who retired because of
concussion concerns, and shut-down corner Ty Law, who
now suits up for the division rival Jets. Still, the
coaching staff incurred the biggest losses, with former
offensive coordinator Charlie Weis now calling the shots
in South Bend and Romeo Crennel, the team’s defensive
coordinator since 2001, attempting to turn the Browns
around. Without Weis, one of the game’s best
play-callers, Corey Dillon will find it tough to match
his numbers from last year (1,635 yards, 12 TD) and,
defensively, the losses of Bruschi, Johnson, Law and
Crennel will be too much to overcome.
Win prediction: 11
Super Bowl Odds: 7-1 |
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TB Buccaneers
They won’t be back in the
Super Bowl, but Chucky’s Bucs will win far more than
five games, their total from last year, and they may
just sneak into the playoffs. Most people don’t realize
how well Brian Griese played for Tampa last year,
throwing for 2,632 yards and 20 TDs in just 11 games.
Give him a full year in Jon Gruden’s system, which made
Rich Gannon an MVP three years ago, and Griese will have
no problem putting up career numbers, especially with
the weapons he has at his disposal. WR Michael Clayton
delivered an electric rookie season last year and RB
Cadillac Williams will deliver an electric rookie season
this year, while veterans like Joey Galloway and Michael
Pittman can still be productive in secondary roles.
Sure, the defense is aging but newcomer Chris Hovan
joins Derrick Brooks, Ronde Barber, Shelton Quarles and
Simeon Rice in what should still be one of the better
defensive units in the NFC. The schedule-makers didn’t
do the Bucs any favors but games against Miami, San
Fran, Washington and Chicago should be gimmes.
Win prediction: 9
Super Bowl Odds: 65-1 |
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David Medsker
Entertainment Editor |
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Philadelphia Eagles
Sure, the Eagles defense is
so deep that they could afford to cut Corey Simon. Sure,
they have Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook, and David
Akers could kick a bowling ball 70 yards in the middle
of a hurricane. But the entire organization has made the
fatal mistake of relying on enfant terrible
Terrell Owens, the most self-centered player in
football, to save them. Which means the team is one
(inevitable) temper tantrum away from complete and utter
chaos. McNabb and Owens don’t even talk to each
other. Imagine a pitcher and catcher having that kind of
relationship. It would never work, and neither will
this. Worse, the depth at receiver after Owens, thanks
to a season ending injury to Todd Pinkston, is anything
but. Three-year veteran Billy McMullen has never caught
a touchdown pass, and he’s battling with rookie, ROOKIE,
Reggie Brown to be the #3 receiver. If Owens is out of
the picture, or clearly not McNabb’s target, the running
game is toast, which puts pressure on the defense and
the kicking game to step up. So much talent. And yet not
even remotely a sure thing.
Win prediction: 11
Super Bowl Odds: 15-2 |
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St. Louis Rams
Think of the Rams as the
NFL’s equivalent to the mid-‘90s Cleveland Indians.
They’re going to allow a ton of points, but they’re
going to score even more. Everybody knocks Marc Bulger,
but the dude threw for just under 4,000 yards last
season. They have Steven Jackson and Marshall Faulk as
their running tandem, and, oh yeah, two of the finest
receivers in football, Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce. I
also hear very good things about their #3 receiver Kevin
Curtis. This team is going to spend a lot of time in the
end zone. The defense, though, is the linchpin to this
team. If they can keep the offense in the game, the Rams
can do some serious damage. Their schedule is also
highly favorable, getting Philadelphia at home along
with games against Houston, New Orleans, Washington and
the Giants, as well as two match-ups against Arizona and
San Francisco. The potential is there to run off a whole
bunch of wins, provided Mike Martz doesn’t coach the
team into the ground.
Win prediction: 12
Super Bowl Odds: 32-1 |
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John Paulsen
Senior Writer |
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Indianapolis Colts
Everyone knows the Colts
have a great offense. With a lineup that includes Peyton
Manning, Edgerrin James, Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne
and Brandon Stokley, Indianapolis is a threat to put 40+
points on just about anyone. The problem lies with their
defense. Last season, they were 29th in total defense,
27th in yards per rushing attempt, 18th in scoring
defense and dead last in opponents’ pass completion
percentage. This is not going to get it done. There are
signs of hope, however. The Colts D was third in the
league in takeaways and sixth in the league in sacks. If
the Indianapolis defense is able to crack the top 10 in
most of the aforementioned categories, they might have a
chance to make the big game. But until they prove their
defense is at least a threat to stop the opposing team,
we’ll continue to see the Colts exit the playoffs
quickly.
Win prediction: 13
Super Bowl Odds: 11-2 |
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Detroit Lions
The Lions aren’t going to
win the Super Bowl this year, but they will improve and
possibly put themselves in a position for a Super Bowl
run in a year or three. I’ve always liked head coach
Steve Mariucci and with stud RB Kevin Jones and
receivers Roy Williams, Charles Rogers and Mike
Williams, the Lions have the makings of a very good
offense. The big question is how QB Joey Harrington will
perform in his fourth year. The Lions brought Jeff
Garcia in as competition but he has since broken his
leg, so it is unclear if he will be available at all
this year. If Harrington takes a big step forward and
can guide the Lions offense with reasonable efficiency,
then Detroit has a chance to compete for the NFC North
title. I think the Vikings will ultimately triumph, but
the Lions are ready to pounce.
Win prediction: 8
Super Bowl Odds: 45-1 |
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